Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 14.129408 16.187560 18.456426 21.145701 24.249800 27.724369 31.914385
2025-11-02 11.126527 13.742343 16.859682 20.858162 25.865104 31.946339 39.921341
2025-11-09 9.370298 12.205148 15.775567 20.621005 27.054621 35.344320 46.901494
2025-11-16 8.105690 11.024688 14.870674 20.337285 27.954742 38.262141 53.383954
2025-11-23 7.094149 10.013800 14.012754 19.928632 28.524737 40.662988 59.283765
2025-11-30 6.668034 9.738420 14.096438 20.785838 30.890475 45.735860 69.479280
2025-12-07 6.164694 9.282902 13.852992 21.105546 32.452752 49.735329 78.449217
2025-12-14 5.647974 8.745084 13.418993 21.066016 33.422869 52.878406 86.360721
2025-12-21 5.168844 8.211946 12.930378 20.871974 34.096317 55.573150 93.773765
2025-12-28 4.954438 8.071794 13.035080 21.624153 36.355842 61.023556 106.356535
2026-01-04 4.715818 7.866278 13.008502 22.143002 38.253421 66.021656 118.659781
2026-01-11 4.545269 7.755776 13.123055 22.901370 40.619778 72.030036 133.398816
2026-01-18 4.149443 7.230376 12.496471 22.318030 40.567742 73.778568 140.524778
2026-01-25 3.840054 6.829367 12.050542 22.014171 40.989591 76.421318 149.641499
2026-02-01 3.570689 6.475875 11.656493 21.763179 41.473579 79.204336 159.307647
2026-02-08 3.320907 6.136549 11.258086 21.462927 41.823808 81.743784 168.730580
2026-02-15 3.077327 5.788396 10.813663 21.030486 41.864219 83.657922 177.032493
2026-02-22 3.023997 5.797010 11.041820 21.937621 44.681501 91.445364 198.778845
2026-03-01 2.904777 5.667366 10.991295 22.275980 46.351150 97.006167 216.246876
2026-03-08 2.751691 5.458213 10.766819 22.234143 47.208086 100.912192 230.397773
2026-03-15 2.593302 5.225935 10.477344 22.028781 47.688131 104.034935 243.068446
2026-03-22 2.547528 5.220718 10.649589 22.824870 50.447723 112.483997 269.403269
2026-03-29 2.479286 5.162968 10.707327 23.374056 52.699933 119.996608 294.338611